InvestEgate - Citigroup upbeat on housing = fundamentals despite short-term slow down

From: "Saved by Windows Internet Explorer 7" Subject: InvestEgate - Citigroup upbeat on housing fundamentals despite short-term slow down Date: Wed, 9 Jan 2008 13:11:53 -0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; type="text/html"; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0000_01C852C1.33EE9A60" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.0.6000.16545 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0000_01C852C1.33EE9A60 Content-Type: text/html; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://www.investegate.co.uk/invarticle.aspx?id=2211 =EF=BB=BF InvestEgate - Citigroup upbeat on housing = fundamentals despite short-term slow down

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Company News	Wednesday 9 January,=20 2008

Citigroup upbeat on housing fundamentals = despite=20 short-term slow down

By Leonora = Walters=20

Citigroup is confident on the long-term = health of=20 the UK housing market despite the recent slowdown, = forecasting=20 that house prices will continue to grow broadly in = line with=20 wage growth over the medium to long term, due to short = supply.

The analyst explains that the = UK=20 housing market remains undersupplied and with demand=20 continuing to grow the downside risks to UK housing = volumes=20 are modest over the medium-term. But over the next 12 = months=20 demand will continue to fall as the market slows and=20 confidence weakens in the near term, which Citigroup says should cause = house=20 price deflation of minus 3%.

The analyst says = that for=20 house builders such as Persimmon higher costs will = bring=20 margins under pressure. It adds that the slow down = will be=20 exacerbated by the credit problems in the banking = sector=20 although this will not cause a housing crash =E2=80=93 = for this to=20 happen unemployment would need to get much worse. =

This=20 is unlikely to happen according to Halifax =E2=80=93 = employment levels should=20 stay at a record high.

Persimmon says its = focus on=20 cash management should take it through this = challenging=20 period, and believes the fundamentals for its industry = are=20 intact. And David Buik of Cantor=20 Fitzgerald said of house building stocks: = =E2=80=9CWe have a=20 huge shortage of housing in this country and houses = need to be=20 built! But timing will be of the essence before wading = in to=20 the ring to buy this sector.=E2=80=9D =

Citigroup says the main=20 issue is 2008 house prices. Yesterday the Halifax House Price Index = found that=20 December house prices increased 1.3% following three = months of=20 falls, with the fourth quarter down 0.8% - marginally = lower=20 than the third quarter.

House prices rose 5.2% = over=20 2007 with the average home up =C2=A311,759 to = =C2=A3197,039, only the=20 second year since 2001 when growth has been less than = the=20 long-term average of 8%.

Halifax predicts that = house=20 prices will be flat in 2008 though adds that sound = economic=20 fundamentals will support them. It explains that the = economy=20 is in good health while employment levels are high.=20

Halifax also expects another rate cut = tomorrow, with a=20 further cut before year end. Its chief economist = Martin Ellis=20 stated: =E2=80=9C'House prices increased by 1.3% per = cent in December,=20 reversing some of the declines recorded in the = preceding three=20 months. This mixed pattern of monthly price = rises=20 and falls is a typical characteristic of a subdued = market."=20

To comment on this article please = contact :=20
leonora.walters@financialexpress.net
Tel. 020 = 7408=20 8080

Citigroup= =20 upbeat on housing fundamentals despite short-term slow = down
Citigroup is confident on the long-term = health of=20 the UK housing market despite the ... more = ;>>=20
09 Jan 2008 11:57=20

Persimmon= =20 upbeat but investors are not convinced =
Persimmon has=20 published a relatively optimistic trading statement = despite=20 concerns ... more = ;>>=20
09 Jan 2008 10:47=20

The One-to-One files=20 ...

Split = capital=20 investment trusts
Jamie Streeter, fund manager = at=20 JPMorgan Asset Management, is our guest in this = edition of The=20 One-to-One files, which looks at the challenges and=20 opportunities found in split capital investment = trusts. play=20 video >>
09 Jan = 2008=20 12:00=20

M&S=20 leads down index as retailers plummet
The FTSE = 100 is=20 down 84.3 points at 6,272.2 following massive falls = for=20 retailers ... more = ;>>=20
09 Jan 2008 08:36=20

A&L=20 may struggle to shift its title as FTSE 100s favourite = short.
Alliance & Leicester shares closed = up again=20 yesterday but it remains the short-sellers' ... more = ;>>=20
09 Jan 2008 07:00=20

Results=20 today
Greggs and Restaurant Group publish full = year=20 trading statements, while Marks & Spencer ... more = ;>>=20
09 Jan 2008 06:30=20

FTSE=20 driven up by pharmaceuticals as investors seek safe = haven=20
The FTSE 100 is up 20.8 points at 6,356.5 with=20 pharmaceuticals, telecoms and miners ... more = ;>>=20
08 Jan 2008 17:11=20

Analyst=20 recommendations
Today=E2=80=99s = recommendations cover 19=20 companies in 10 sectors with a focus on Media c ... more = ;>>=20
08 Jan 2008 13:35=20

=20
Comments=20 ...

Thinking = outside the box
It=E2=80=99s funny how = investors behave -=20 which after years of investing in both property ... more = ;>>=20
03 Jan 2008 12:06=20

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Investegate takes no=20 responsibility for the accuracy of the information within = this site.=20 The announcements are supplied by the denoted source. = Queries of=20 this nature should be directed to the source. Investegate = reserves=20 the right to publish a filtered set of announcements. NAV, = EMM/EPT,=20 Rule 8 and FRN Variable Rate Fix announcements are filtered = from=20 this site.

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